Speculation on Wintersday started early. What this means, is that those who may have missed out on the last rush on items may have a chance to get in before the content drops. Here's what most items being speculated on look like on GW2spidy after last week's spikes:
A few haven't returned all the way to the original pre-speculation price points (like the example above - butter) but in many cases the drop has been pretty complete.
The movement hasn't finished yet though. That first spike was the activity of a reasonable amount of speculators - the early birds. I don't think we've seen the last of the excitement yet.
Theoretically, investors who were happy to buy up at previous prices will do so again. I would be surprised if many of them held onto their stock in fact during the market peaks. Better to sell and wait for the slump (now) then buy in again.
So keep your eyes peeled - I know I will. Anything could set it off. It's a beautiful reactive system. One group or individual may buy up great quantities of eggs. Another might take a shine to chocolate again. It could be any (or all) of the items that last spiked.
Also keep an eye on the main site. As soon as content starts to leak or be released about the Wintersday content expect price rises as more players learn of the content to come (believe me some don't know there's a 'windersday' on the way).
We've got a week and 4 days in which to enjoy the market manipulations we're seeing. Learn from the one just past - buy when low and sell when excitement builds. I keep saying this but it's advice that I've yet to see contradicted: most of the market spikes will be highest BEFORE the content is released. Not after.
Once the event starts we may have another tiered content release like Halloween and the Karka event. That's likely in fact though, until more information drops, we can't know for certain. The event runs for 3 weeks so it's going to be a busy market - great fun!
And finally - because I hope you all did well - did you guys make out like bandits during the last market spike? Are there any items you maybe didn't get in on and want to stock up on now?
PS Keep speculating in the comments after this post or the previous one! We've nearly got a simple forum sorted and hope to unleash it soon :)