Did you know that when you search for images on google with the search term 'spike' you get mostly images of a well known vampire? I decided I'd run with that after another long day of work and a nice, tired buzzing in my head.
There he is, almost like the petty, but handsome, lord of a supermarket. "Won't you buy my goods guv?" He reigns above all the items that are spiking or that have spiked in the past 48 hours. You can probably add more to that list - little movements you've seen elsewhere, but that's the majority of the items on my wintersday watchlist on gw2spidy.
Will other items spike? I think we might just see movement elsewhere but already the strong contenders for 'bubble' status (along with chocolate) are emerging.
What do we do with this information? Well hopefully you've been using the information we've been sharing in First Wintersday Information (Sparse), and Watch Out For Christmas Bubbles And Market Manipulation (and in each posts comments) to snag some of these items early before they rose. Maybe you snagged some even earlier (I believe Halloween Food - Revealed - specifically my comment right after it - was when I first mentioned it).
If not, have no fear. Some of these items (perhaps the most artificially inflated) are going to at least slump, if not crash, early as investors get the jitters. There's a while until Wintersday yet so there'll be time after that for another mini-bubble.
Some items are just beginning to rise so you can still get in early (but you'll be gambling - as we all are at the moment :P). Again, because Wintersday isn't here for days yet there's time for "investors" (bless) who don't check around for information until the last minute to buy up popular, predicted product lines in a panic.
Keep your eyes peeled here, or over on reddit, or on another GW2 fan sites (I believe in a wider community and not this site alone - though I'm purdy smrt ;D) or even the main GW2 site for news about Wintersday, videos (press sites are good for previews - like we saw during Halloween) and screenshots containing recipes.
Even if the recipes shown in screenies don't give anything good, the price of these items will spike like a vampire.
For you see, what we're really doing here is guessing what other players think will sell well - not what will be needed and what will sell well in reality.
Keep sharing your thoughts in this post, or any of the previous wintersday posts. I've been working on the forum and I hope to have it up soon which will, I hope, help keep ongoing discussion much neater and more informative.
PS I know I asked at the weekend for ideas for this week's posts but what with the market shenanigans I had to postpone the drafts I was working on for those ideas - they'll no doubt appear another time!